Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.025964 0.028111 0.030261 0.032572 0.034984 0.037422 0.040069
2025-08-03 0.022343 0.025793 0.029372 0.033345 0.037615 0.042051 0.046990
2025-08-10 0.019384 0.023579 0.028055 0.033146 0.038739 0.044661 0.051372
2025-08-17 0.017062 0.021754 0.026884 0.032840 0.039503 0.046668 0.054899
2025-08-24 0.015295 0.020364 0.026030 0.032731 0.040342 0.048633 0.058266
2025-08-31 0.013715 0.019051 0.025144 0.032473 0.040916 0.050221 0.061139
2025-09-07 0.012442 0.017997 0.024470 0.032378 0.041605 0.051877 0.064034
2025-09-14 0.011100 0.016764 0.023505 0.031871 0.041756 0.052874 0.066141
2025-09-21 0.009912 0.015640 0.022600 0.031374 0.041866 0.053778 0.068103
2025-09-28 0.008669 0.014360 0.021436 0.030504 0.041485 0.054073 0.069329
2025-10-05 0.008279 0.014168 0.021602 0.031229 0.042980 0.056532 0.073037
2025-10-12 0.007736 0.013734 0.021433 0.031518 0.043936 0.058348 0.075990
2025-10-19 0.007001 0.013034 0.020945 0.031458 0.044537 0.059837 0.078679
2025-10-26 0.006594 0.012778 0.021033 0.032132 0.046057 0.062445 0.082726
2025-11-02 0.005893 0.012047 0.020456 0.031931 0.046479 0.063733 0.085211
2025-11-09 0.005225 0.011311 0.019829 0.031631 0.046752 0.064821 0.087444
2025-11-16 0.004686 0.010723 0.019372 0.031524 0.047244 0.066156 0.089957
2025-11-23 0.004151 0.010095 0.018825 0.031272 0.047532 0.067227 0.092143
2025-11-30 0.003712 0.009584 0.018415 0.031179 0.048004 0.068511 0.094574
2025-12-07 0.003204 0.008905 0.017727 0.030683 0.047938 0.069118 0.096178
2025-12-14 0.002750 0.008269 0.017067 0.030197 0.047862 0.069696 0.097733
2025-12-21 0.002260 0.007504 0.016170 0.029346 0.047285 0.069631 0.098489
2025-12-28 0.002153 0.007469 0.016387 0.030055 0.048752 0.072117 0.102360